danny ayalon
While US President George W. Bush's current visit to Israel and the
Middle East is no doubt of historic consequence, for the people of
Israel, it did not take his presence in Jerusalem to prove his
overwhelming commitment to the welfare and security of the nation.
Actions such as his decision to meet with the city's mayor, which stand
above the typical protocol of visiting heads of state, remind us that
Bush is in fact the best friend of Israel ever to occupy the Oval
Office.
Early on in his administration, he was widely accused of being
ambivalent and hands-off in relating to the Arab-Israeli conflict, but
his actions in this regard have proven both strategically sound and
highly prudent. It is critical to remember that he entered office in
the shadow of a Clinton presidency where the executive was very
hands-on in promoting peace in the Middle East, yet whose best efforts
never proved successful.
Bush understood that creating a lasting peace required that the
intensity and scope of American involvement in the process could only
follow serious commitment by the parties themselves.
This American president also knew that so long as Yasser Arafat was
leading the Palestinian people, a true and lasting peace would remain
unattainable.
It is therefore no surprise that as he approaches the latter months of
his presidency, Bush has chosen to come to the region to bolster Prime
Minister Ehud Olmert and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas
- both of whom are weak leaders requiring the backing of a committed US
ally.
Bush's presence here will also play an invaluable role in shoring up
support within the Arab League for the understandings reached at
Annapolis. He is hoping to stress to the Arab world that they have both
a responsibility and a direct interest in helping to foster an
effective political dialogue between Israel and the Palestinians.
America is certainly expecting that Arab leaders, and particularly
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, will make good on their financial
commitments to the PA, and allow economic aid to flow to the
Palestinian people through Abbas.
Bush will, therefore, also be encouraging these leaders to initiate
meaningful gestures of cooperation with Olmert and Israel so the
process can become that much more palpable to the Israeli people.
Yet, while the direct involvement of an American president in
Israeli-Palestinian negotiations will likely garner considerable
attention, there are many other issues to be confronted in the coming
days that are no less significant.
A major focus will of course be placed on efforts to halt the expansion
of the Iranian threat to the region and to global security. Bush's
diplomatic goal in this arena will be to maximize Iran's isolation and
in so doing limit the current Iranian regime's potential to wage war.
With King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, he will no doubt discuss the future
price of oil. If oil prices continue to rise, it will almost certainly
further disturb an American economy already teetering on the brink of
recession.
Rising oil prices contribute to inflation and a weaker dollar. Although
a weak dollar has some positive consequences for the US foreign trade
deficit and helps American exporters, from most other perspectives the
downward slide is viewed with grave concern.
On the short-term domestic level, a weak dollar contributes heavily to
inflation in the American marketplace. But more troubling are the
long-term consequences of removing it as the global currency of choice,
and in particular as the currency used for quoting those all-important
oil prices.
Recognizing the multifaceted nature of Bush's tour reminds us that he
will be confronting issues of critical importance for the broader
region and even for the entire globe. So as justifiably excited as the
Israeli people might be to finally host this trusted friend and
partner, we must realize that much more is on the line than what we
might limit ourselves to acknowledging through the often-narrow
perspective of the Arab-Israeli conflict.
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The US president's global agenda
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