By Aaron Klein
TEL AVIV – Syrian President Bashar Assad has fortified positions along
his country's border with Israel and is preparing the Syrian army for
war with the Jewish state, according to an Israeli Defense Forces
assessment released today.
"Assad is preparing his army for a confrontation with Israel," Yossi
Beyditz, head of research for the IDF's intelligence branch told the
Israeli cabinet this morning.
"Assad has not returned the army to its pre-Lebanon war positions,"
Beyditz said.
Bayditz said the estimate so far is that Syria it not preparing to
attack, but to defend itself against a possible Israeli offensive,
which Assad believes is imminent.
"These are artillery cannons, missiles and rockets positioned in
forward positions. He is preparing for a defensive and not offensive
response. He estimates that Israel would want to attack him," Bayditz
said.
He said Assad supports terrorism and the path of violence:
"Assad continues to support Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Hezbollah. We have
unequivocal proof on his direct involvement in smuggling weapons to
Lebanon. In the past there was no proof," he said.
"Bashar Assad continues his wave of equivocal messages. Once he speaks
about sticking with a peace strategy and simultaneously speaks of a
confrontation and about us as not ready for a political process and he
in fact means both options: a political arrangement according to
Assad's known conditions, but prepares that army for a confrontation
with Israel," the officer said.
The intelligence official's comments follow an interview last weekend
in which Assad directly stated his army is preparing for war.
"We must remain ready at all times. We have begun preparations within
the framework of our options," Assad told the Kuwaiti newspaper
Al-Anba. He said Israel could attack Syria "at any moment," and that
Israeli leaders have abandoned the peace process and are seeking a war.
Since the war in Lebanon ended in August, Assad has given a series of
interviews in which he warned of possible confrontations with Israel.
He has stated several times he views Hezbollah's "victory" over Israel
as proof military tactics bring results.
In an August address, Assad said members of Hezbollah used their "will,
determination and faith" to counter Israeli arms, enabling the Lebanese
militia to defeat Israel.
"We tell them (Israelis) that after tasting humiliation in the latest
battles, your weapons are not going to protect you – not your planes,
or missiles or even your nuclear bombs. ... The future generations in
the Arab world will find a way to defeat Israel," Assad said.
Israel on alert for Syrian attack
Israeli officials here claim the IDF alert level in the Golan heights
has not been raised in response to Assad's statements and to the new
Israeli intelligence estimates.
"We have not made any significant changes in the Golan in recent
weeks," said an IDF spokeswoman.
But military officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, told WND
last week the IDF has fortified their positions in the Golan, including
increasing security at checkpoints and the stationing of larger troop
numbers at key areas throughout the territory.
Also, the officials said, the IDF has reinforced security fences on the
Israeli side of the border.
The IDF has not moved in additional heavy weaponry, tanks, or troop
divisions for fear of startling Syria, the officials said.
"We are taking Assad's threats very seriously and are cautiously
increasing our level of alertness for a possible provocation by Syria,"
a military official said.
The official said Israel placed troops in the Golan on heightened alert
during the 34-day war against Hezbollah in Lebanon that began July 12,
but the alert level was raised in recent weeks following militant
statements by Assad and Israeli intelligence warnings of indications
Syria may be bracing for a conflict.
The Golan Heights is strategic mountainous territory captured by the
Jewish state after Syria used the terrain to attack Israel in 1967 and
again in 1973. The Heights looks down on major Syrian and Israeli
population centers. Military officials here have long maintained
returning the Golan Heights to Syria would grant Damascus the ability
to mount an effective ground invasion of the Jewish state.
Jewish residents in the Golan told WND the heightened IDF status was
plainly visible. They noted larger troop numbers and improvements made
to border installations.
'Damascus prepping public for war'
Security officials here told WND there have been indications the past
few weeks Syria is seeking to launch a provocation. Besides Assad's
statements, the officials say state-run Syrian media have been
broadcasting regular warlike messages unseen since the 1973 Yom Kippur
War, in which Syria and Egypt launched invasions from the Golan and the
Sinai desert.
"The tone [in Syria] is one of preparing the public for a war," said a
senior security official.
He said any Syrian provocation would likely be coordinated with Iran.
Tehran and Damascus, which both support Hezbollah, have signed several
military pacts.
Reuven Erlich, a Syrian expert and director of the Intelligence and
Terrorism Information Center at Israel's Center for Special Studies,
told WND Assad's threats "are to be taken seriously."
"Assad's support for terrorism, for the insurgency in Iraq, for
Hezbollah and his alliance with Iran are all indication of the
direction in which Syria is headed. Assad needs to demonstrate he is
willing to sue for peace, but everything seems to indicate the
opposite. Especially following the war in Lebanon," Erlich said.
Reports: Syria to form own Hezbollah
In July, WND first reported Syria is forming its own Hezbollah-like
guerrilla organization to attack Israeli positions in the Golan
Heights, according to a senior Baath party official.
The Baath party official told WND Syria learned from Hezbollah's
military campaign against Israel that "fighting" is more effective than
peace negotiations with regard to gaining territory.
Hezbollah claims its goal is to liberate the Shebaa Farms, a small,
12-square-mile bloc situated between Syria, Lebanon and Israel. The
cease-fire resolution accepted by Israel to end its military campaign
in Lebanon calls for negotiations leading to Israel's relinquishing of
the Shebaa Farms.
The official told WND Syria's new Front for the Liberation of the Golan
Heights was formed in June, and that the group consists of Syrian
volunteers, many from the Syrian border with Turkey and from
Palestinian refugee camps near Damascus. He said Syria held
registration for volunteers to join the Front in June.
One week after the WND article detailing the claimed group was
published, state-run Al-Alam Iranian television featured an interview
with a man who identified himself as the leader of the new Front for
the Liberation of the Golan.
The man, whose features were blocked out, said his new group consists
of "hundreds" of fighters who are training for guerrilla-like raids
against Israeli positions in and near the Golan. He claimed the Front
has opened several training camps inside Syria.
Last month, Amos Yadlin, head of the IDF's intelligence branch, told
the Knesset Syria is in the early stages of forming a Hezbollah-like
group.
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Israeli warning: Syria preparing for war
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