By Charles Krauthammer
http://www.JewishWorldReview.com |
EDITOR'S NOTE: There is no sovereign state of "Palestine". The author,
for reasons known only to him, has chosen to call territory won by
Israel in a defensive war with this name.
Gaza is now run not by a conventional political party but by a movement
that is revolutionary, Islamist and terrorist. Worse, Hamas is a client
of Iran. Gaza now constitutes the farthest reach of the archipelago of
Iranian proxies: Hamas in Palestine, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Mahdi
Army (among others) in Iraq and the Alawite regime of Syria.
This Islamist mini-replica of the Comintern is at war not just with
Israel but with the moderate Arab states, who finally woke up to this
threat last summer when they denounced Hezbollah for provoking the
Lebanon war with Israel. The fall of Gaza is particularly terrifying to
Egypt because Hamas is so closely affiliated with the Muslim
Brotherhood, the chief Islamist threat to the secular-nationalist
regime that has ruled Egypt since the revolution of 1952. Which is why
Egypt has just invited Israeli, Jordanian and moderate Palestinian
leaders to a summit next week — pointedly excluding and isolating
Hamas.
The splitting of Palestine into two entities is nonetheless clarifying.
Since Hamas won the parliamentary elections of January 2006, we've had
to deal with the fiction of a supposedly unified Palestine ruled by an
avowedly "unity" government of Fatah and Hamas. Now the muddle has
undergone political hydrolysis, separating out the relatively pure
elements: a Hamas-ruled Gaza and Fatah-ruled (for now) West Bank.
The policy implications are obvious. There is nothing to do with the
self-proclaimed radical Islamist entity that is Gaza but to isolate it.
No recognition, no aid (except humanitarian necessities through the
United Nations), no diplomatic commerce.
Israel now has the opportunity to establish deterrence against
unremitting rocket attacks from Gaza into Israeli villages. Israel
failed to do that after it evacuated Gaza in 2005, permitting the
development of an unprecedented parasitism by willingly supplying food,
water, electricity and gasoline to a territory that was actively waging
hostilities against it.
With Hamas now clearly in charge, Israel should declare that it will
tolerate no more rocket fire — that the next Qassam will be answered
with a cutoff of gasoline shipments. This should bring road traffic in
Gaza to a halt within days and make it increasingly difficult to ferry
around missiles and launchers.
If that fails to concentrate the mind, the next step should be to cut
off electricity. When the world wails, Israel should ask, what other
country on Earth is expected to supply the very means for a declared
enemy to attack it?
Regarding the West Bank, policy should be equally clear. Palestinian
Authority President Mahmoud Abbas represents moderation and should be
helped as he tries to demonstrate both authority and success in running
his part of Palestine.
But let's remember who Abbas is. He appears well intentioned, but he is
afflicted with near-disastrous weaknesses. He controls little. His
troops in Gaza simply collapsed against the greatly outnumbered forces
of Hamas. His authority in the West Bank is far from universal. He does
not even control the various factions within Fatah.
But the greater liability is his character. He is weak and indecisive.
When he was Yasser Arafat's deputy, Abbas was known to respond to being
slapped down by his boss by simply disappearing for weeks in a sulk.
During the battle for Gaza, he did not order his Fatah forces to return
fire against the Hamas insurrection until the fight was essentially
over. Remember, too, that after Arafat's death Abbas ran the
Palestinian Authority without a Hamas presence for more than a year.
Can you name a single thing he achieved in that time?
Moreover, his Fatah party is ideologically spent and widely
discredited. Historian Michael Oren points out that the Palestinian
Authority has received more per capita aid than did Europe under the
Marshall Plan. This astonishing largess has disappeared into lavish
villas for party bosses and guns for the multiple militias Arafat
established.
The West is rushing to bolster Abbas. Israel will release hundreds of
millions in tax revenue. The United States and the European Union will
be pouring in aid. All praise Abbas as a cross between Anwar Sadat and
Simón Bolívar. Fine. We have no choice but to support him. But before
we give him the moon, we should insist upon reasonable benchmarks of
both moderation and good governance — exactly what we failed to do
during the Oslo process. Abbas needs to demonstrate his ability to run
a clean administration and to engage Israel in day-to-day negotiations
to alleviate the conditions of life on the ground.
Abbas is not Hamas. But despite the geographical advantages, he does
not represent the second coming, either. We can prop him up only so
much. In the end, the only one who can make a success of the West Bank
is Abbas himself. This is his chance. His last chance.
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Last chance for Abbas
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