By Caroline B. Glick
According to foreign reports, Israel destroyed a nuclear weapons
installation in Syria in September. Never has a larger story been
pushed under the rug by so many so quickly. What are we to make of
this?
Over the weekend former federal prosecutor and the head of the
non-governmental International Intelligence Summit, John Loftus,
released a report on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction program. His
report was based on a private study of captured Iraqi documents. These
were the unread Arabic language documents that US forces seized, but
had not managed to translate after overthrowing Saddam Hussein in 2003.
After a prolonged battle between Congress and then director of US
National Intelligence John Negroponte, President George W. Bush ordered
those documents posted on a public access Web site last year. They were
taken down after it was discovered that among the Iraqi documents were
precise descriptions of how to build nuclear weapons.
As Loftus summarized, "The gist of the new evidence is this: Roughly
one-quarter of Saddam's WMD was destroyed under UN pressure during the
early to mid 1990s. Saddam sold approximately another quarter of his
weapons stockpile to his Arab neighbors during the mid-to-late-1990's.
The Russians insisted on removing another quarter in the last few
months before the war. The last remaining WMD, the contents of Saddam's
nuclear weapons labs, were still inside Iraq on the day when the
coalition forces arrived in 2003. His nuclear weapons equipment was
hidden in enormous underwater warehouses beneath the Euphrates River.
Saddam's entire nuclear inventory was later stolen from these
warehouses right out from under the Americans' noses."
Loftus then cites Israeli sources who claim that the Iraqi nuclear
program was transferred to the Deir az Zour province in Syria
LOFTUS'S REPORT jibes with a report published on the Web site of
Kuwait's Al Seyassah's newspaper on September 25, 2006. That report,
which I noted last November, cited European intelligence sources and
claimed that in late 2004 Syria began developing a nuclear program near
its border with Turkey. Syria's program, which was run by President
Bashar Assad's brother Maher and defended by an Iranian Revolutionary
Guards brigade, had by mid-2006 "reached the stage of medium activity."
The Kuwaiti report stated that the Syrian nuclear program was based "on
equipment and materials that the sons of the deposed Iraqi leader, Uday
and Qusai transferred to Syria by using dozens of civilian trucks and
trains, before and after the US-British invasion in March 2003."
The program, which was run by Iranians with assistance from Iraqi
scientists and scientists from the Muslim republics of the former
Soviet Union, "was originally built on the remains of the Iraqi program
after it was wholly transferred to Syria." These reports and several
others like them which have surfaced over the past several years tell
us interesting and disturbing things.
FIRST, THEY show just how difficult it is to gather accurate
information on the status of weapons of mass destruction programs.
From the 1991 Gulf War until the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003,
Iraq's weapons of mass destruction programs were a top issue on the
international agenda. And yet, year in and year out, UN inspectors, who
were on the ground throughout most of the period, failed to provide an
accurate picture of those programs. Indeed, the documents and reports
regarding the transfer of those programs to Syria show those inspection
reports were wildly off the mark.
And not only did the UN fail. The US itself also failed. After invading
Iraq and overthrowing Saddam's regime, the US military and intelligence
arms took almost no action to ensure that suspected sites were secured
and searched. The US failed to pursue clear intelligence reports
indicating that in the weeks before the invasion, suspicious truck
convoys had traveled from Iraq to Syria carrying what were presumed to
be weapons of mass destruction components.
As for Syria, still today, after Israel reportedly destroyed the Syrian
nuclear installation at Deir az Zour, the US and the international
community as a whole behave as though nothing is out of order.
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice met with her Syrian counterpart
Waleed Muallem on November 3 and invited Syria to demand the Golan
Heights from Israel at her peace conference at Annapolis later this
month.
THE SYRIAN and Iraqi cases also show that political courage and
intellectual honesty are the keys to intelligence collection and
analysis regarding weapons of mass destruction programs. When leaders
and intelligence officials are uninterested in finding information
about these programs, they are guaranteed to discover nothing. And when
they wish to do nothing about information that they have, they can
easily argue that their information was inconclusive. In contrast, if
they decide to act on intelligence information that challenges
preconceived notions and entrenched political interests, they are
guaranteed to suffer the condemnations of those who have an interest in
continuing to downplay or deny the dangers those programs manifest.
Against the backdrop of the international and American inability and
unwillingness to handle the Iraqi and Syrian nuclear programs, the
reports coming out from Iran regarding the mullocracy's nuclear program
and the American and Israeli responses to it are nothing less than
terrifying.
Last week, the IAEA acknowledged that Iran is currently operating 3,000
centrifuges. At this rate of uranium enrichment, Iran will be capable
of producing an atomic bomb in a year. This means that diplomacy today
is a dead letter. It is too late to talk Iran out of its nuclear
program.
Perhaps more disturbing than the IAEA report - written by Muhammad
ElBaradei, who with the exception of the mullahs themselves is probably
the man least interested in taking action against Iran's program - were
the Israeli and US responses to it. Prime Minister Ehud Olmert
reportedly told his ministers that Israel needs to develop
contingencies for the day after Iran joins the nuclear club.
THE US is not merely developing contingencies for the day after. It is
working to whitewash Iran's role in fomenting the insurgency in Iraq in
an effort to restart direct negotiations with Teheran. According to the
New York Sun, Rice and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates are so eager
to ascribe a decrease in Iraqi violence to Iran that they are willing
to pooh-pooh the US military's own achievements in its "surge" in Iraq.
The danger implicit in the US and Israeli decisions to plan for the day
after Iran gets the bomb is made clear by two recent developments.
First, Sunday The New York Times reported that since Sept.11, the US
has been assisting the Pakistanis in securing their nuclear facilities.
Speaking to the Times, John E. McLaughlin, the former deputy director
of the CIA, said, "I am confident of two things, that the Pakistanis
are very serious about securing this material, but also that someone in
Pakistan is very intent on getting their hands on it."
This story makes clear that even if a regime is considered trustworthy,
if threatened by jihadists there is a danger that its nuclear weapons
will fall into their hands. If that happens, the notion of deterrence
is thrown out the window.
THE LATEST developments in the investigation of the 1994 bombing of the
AMIA Jewish center in Buenos Aires provide even more reason for worry.
Thirteen years ago, Iran ordered its terror arm Hizbullah to attack the
AMIA building. Eighty-five people were killed.
Two weeks ago, Argentina requested that Interpol issue international
arrest warrants against five Iranians and one Lebanese man implicated
in the bombing. Interpol complied. Last week, Iran responded to
Interpol's move by demanding that Interpol issue arrest warrants
against five Argentines involved in the investigation of the AMIA
bombing. Iran accused them of the "crime" of insulting Iran.
This is an unsettling state of affairs on several levels. The AMIA
bombing involved a state contracting a terror group to carry out a
massive attack against innocent civilians simply because they were
Jewish. For years, for political reasons, the Argentine government
derailed its own investigation of the attack. Indeed, it took 14 long
years for Argentina to request that Interpol issue arrest warrants.
And then, in a sign of contempt for the international community, Iran
announced its counter-warrant demand. And the world has said nothing.
The point is, even if one believes the dubious argument that the
Iranian regime can be trusted with nuclear weapons, given the AMIA
precedent there is no reason to doubt that Iran would eventually
transfer its weapons to Hizbullah or some other Iranian terror group to
detonate in Israel.
What the Iranians learned, and indeed what Israel should have learned
from the investigation of the AMIA bombing, is that no one will
automatically point a finger at Iran for an attack carried out by
Iran's terror proxies.
AND SO we return to Iran's nuclear bomb program, which like the Syrian
and Iraqi programs, is partially hidden from view, but which the
pro-Iranian IAEA claims is years away from completion. And we return to
the US and Israel acting as though it is possible to live with a
nuclear-armed Iran.
We look at all of this, and we ask: How can Washington and Jerusalem be
so irresponsible? We look at Olmert's reported willingness to
countenance a nuclear-armed Iran, and we wonder, how can he try to wish
away an impending threat of nuclear annihilation?
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How can Washington and Jerusalem be so irresponsible?
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